Colorado Redistricting

 By winning one race by only 157 votes, Republicans control one house of the Colorado State Legislature so Democrats do not hold the trifect...

Maryland Redistricting, 7-1 D

 Like in 2001, Democrats hold the trifecta in Maryland again. This means that not only do they control the Governorship, they also control b...

New Mexico Redistricting

 I have not redistricted many states with only a few congressional districts yet but I am now doing New Mexico. This state is gaining no con...

How Michael Bennett Won in Colorado

 In the 2010 midterm elections, Colorado was one of the main battleground states. Gov. Bill Ritter (D) chose Michael Bennett (D) to fill out...

My Last Senate Rankings: Tossups Galore

Pundits always say that when election day is really close, some candidates start pulling away from the opponent. In West Virginia, we are se...

Races Democrats CAN Feel Optimistic About

 Go to any political website. Look in any politics section of the newspaper. Talk to any political analyst (including this one.) What do the...

The Big Tossups of the Cycle

 The 2010 election season as many pundits know is a year where almost every race is competitive for both Democrats and Republicans. The pund...

Senate Rankings: Who's Getting the Surge?

 Many pundits recently have been saying that there may be a Democratic surge. In the Gubernatorial races, there definitely is. In Ohio, Ted ...

How will the housekeeper scandal affect Whitman?

 The California Governorship is one of those races where the leader keeps changing. In early 2009, former Governor Jerry Brown (D) led forme...

Senate Rankings: Democrats Swap Washington for Wisconsin

 It has been a month since my last Senate rankings. Has the outlook improved for the Democrats? Yes and no. In early September, all eyes wer...

Joe Sestak and Campaign Surges

 In mid May, the whole pundit world was shocked as the "powerhouse" Arlen Specter (D) was knocked out of his Senate seat in the pr...

California U.S House Rankings

 As Michael Barone put it, "Between 1995 and 2005, politics was trench warfare where each side tried to have stronger enthusiasm. Now w...

Why Michael Castle IS the Next Lisa Murkowski

 You may have seen my recent post titled  Why Michael Castle is not the Next Lisa Murkowskiwhere I proceeded to talk about why Michael Castl...

Why Michael Castle is not the Next Lisa Murkowski

 On August 24th in Alaska, pundits like me witnessed a large political upset. Everyone expected Lisa Murkowski (R) to beat back the primary ...

Senate Rankings: August is never good for Democrats

 Another August come and gone with Labor Day leaving too. This means that summer is officially over and if you live in the East Coast, you w...

California Baselines

  With Arnold Schwarzenegger retiring, Democrats thought they would have a great shot at picking up California's Governorship. Then, the...

Changing Senate Races After Labor Day

 In many states across the country, Democrats are looking at losing Senate seats. Fortunately, most pundits including myself believe that th...

Washington Baselines: Murray v. Rossi

 Until Chris Christie was elected, New Jersey was the state where Republicans were Charlie Brown trying to kick the football from Lucy. The ...

Senate Race Rankings: August Edition: Republican Pickups but how many?

 Welcome to the Dog Days of August everyone. Besides many people enjoying themselves on vacation, we also have many races enjoying vacations...

Colorado Baselines 2010

A few weeks ago, it appeared that Colorado would hold two very competitive races. One race would be the Colorado Gubernatorial race. John Hi...

The First Gubernatorial Rankings for 2010

You may have seen my Senate rankings that I posted about two weeks ago. Unfortunately, those rankings did not cover all the races because th...

How Lee Fisher Can Win

 Yet again, Ohio will be a battleground state for a hard fought race. In 2004, this state was ground zero for campaigning as Bush and Kerry ...

Senate Race Rankings

These are my first rankings of any set of seats for the 2010 Congressional elections. The Senate outlook for the Democrats was at first good...

What to watch this election night for California races

On May 18th, everyone called that day the Super Tuesday for primaries. They apparently were not thinking about this Tuesday, June 8th. Today...

How Pat Quinn Wins

A Quick note: this is my first post in a long time that focuses on race analysis without too many demographics. I used to have posts similar...

Oregon Gubernatorial Baselines

 In Oregon, Ted Kulogoshi (D) is not running for reelection as Governor. The Democrat running to replace him is John Kitzhaber (D) who is th...

California Redistricting

(Beware, this post is very long so read if you are not in a rush.) First, this is finally finished! It took me a couple of months to map and...

Baselines for Florida's Gubernatorial Race

 Charlie Crist (R), the current Governor of Florida is not running for reelection this year because he is running for Senate as an Independe...

Nevada Senate County Baselines

Dark Red: Republican 70%+Red: Republican 60%-69%Light Red: Republican 50%-59%Light Blue: Reid 50%-54% This map above is the visual for the N...

Maryland County Baselines

Dark Red=Ehlrich 70%+ Red=Ehlrich 60%-69% Light Red=Ehlrich 50%-69% Blue=O'Malley 60%-69% Dark Blue= O'Malley 70%+ This is a map for...

We Cannot Drill Our Way Out of this

First things first, my letter about oil drilling just got published in the chronicle! Here it is:http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f...

New Jersey Redistricting with Christie in Office

Camden and Vicinity Southern New Jersey Central New Jersey Western New Jersey Urban New Jersey Northern New Jersey The census should sho...